Dynamo Dresden vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
MAG
2 - 2
SGD
53%
23%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
SGD
4 - 1
ASA
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
SGD
5 - 0
CHL
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
ASA
2 - 2
SGD
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
SGD
2 - 0
FVF
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
BWA
3 - 1
COT
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
BFC
1 - 0
BWA
74%
16%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
BWA
1 - 1
ZWI
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
ERF
5 - 2
BWA
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
BWA
1 - 1
LOK
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |