Dynamo Dresden vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
SGD
2 - 0
BFC
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1966 |
WIS
3 - 0
SGD
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
SGD
3 - 2
CHL
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1966 |
CZJ
0 - 1
SGD
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1966 |
SGD
0 - 0
ROS
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
HAL
5 - 2
BWA
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1966 |
BWA
2 - 0
LAS
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
BWA
2 - 1
FCU
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1966 |
BFC
4 - 3
BWA
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1966 |
BWA
0 - 1
WIS
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |