Champions League 1/16
Global 0-2
Dynamo Dresden vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
AJA
2 - 0
SGD
78%
14%
8%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
SGD
2 - 2
BFC
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
SGD
0 - 0
FVF
74%
14%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
LOK
1 - 0
SGD
35%
29%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
SGD
3 - 1
MAG
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
AJA
2 - 0
SGD
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
GRO
0 - 0
AJA
14%
25%
61%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
95%
4%
1%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | +1 |