Bad Breisig vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Breisig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
MET
0 - 2
BBE
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
BBE
0 - 2
PIR
12%
21%
67%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
MEC
2 - 1
BBE
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
KOL
2 - 1
BBE
81%
13%
6%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
BBE
0 - 3
SAA
10%
18%
73%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
HOM
5 - 0
KOL
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
BET
0 - 0
HOM
18%
23%
60%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
HOM
1 - 0
AWA
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
WIR
0 - 0
HOM
27%
25%
49%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
MET
1 - 4
HOM
20%
22%
59%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |