SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
53.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VFL
2 - 1
SGA
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
SGA
1 - 3
HAB
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
OSC
1 - 1
SGA
34%
22%
43%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
SGA
0 - 3
BRI
23%
20%
58%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
BTN
0 - 0
SGA
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
WER
0 - 1
BRE
10%
14%
76%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LEH
0 - 1
WER
24%
19%
57%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
WER
0 - 1
SCH
56%
19%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
VAT
3 - 3
WER
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
WER
1 - 2
OBE
52%
19%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |