SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+108%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 5
SGA
7%
12%
81%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SGA
9 - 0
OST
88%
8%
4%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 4
SGA
10%
14%
75%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SGA
2 - 0
BLU
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRE
4 - 2
SGA
40%
22%
38%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
WER
1 - 6
BRI
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 6
WER
8%
12%
80%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
WER
2 - 1
SCH
93%
5%
2%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
OST
0 - 4
WER
8%
12%
80%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
WER
3 - 3
OSC
89%
8%
4%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |