SG Aumund-Vegesack vs VfL Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.6%
4-0
12%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
2.3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
SGA
6%
11%
83%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SGA
0 - 9
HOF
10%
17%
73%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
SGA
3 - 0
BUR
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BLU
0 - 3
SGA
6%
12%
82%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SGA
3 - 0
WER
30%
22%
49%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
VfL Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
VFL
0 - 0
BUR
63%
18%
19%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
VFL
1 - 1
TUR
48%
22%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
OBE
1 - 2
VFL
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
VFL
0 - 5
SGA
7%
13%
80%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
WUL
1 - 0
VFL
51%
23%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |