SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Vahr-Blockdiek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
15º
10º
3
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 38 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 34 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SGA
2 - 1
OBE
39%
20%
42%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 1
SGA
55%
19%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SGA
1 - 3
SVH
18%
18%
64%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EHB
4 - 1
SGA
20%
17%
63%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SGA
3 - 2
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
VAB
1 - 5
GEE
17%
17%
66%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 0
VAB
92%
6%
2%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAB
0 - 3
EHB
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
TRB
4 - 0
VAB
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 4
SCH
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |