SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Vahr-Blockdiek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
12º
4º
33
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TKA
2 - 1
SGA
9%
14%
78%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SGA
2 - 4
TRB
80%
12%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
WER
10 - 0
SGA
75%
15%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 7
SGA
23%
20%
58%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SGA
4 - 0
OSC
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 1
VAT
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 0
VAB
23%
20%
57%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -4 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VAB
2 - 0
BTN
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BLU
4 - 1
VAB
40%
22%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
VAB
3 - 2
LEH
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |