SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TUR
0 - 2
SGA
6%
12%
82%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SGA
3 - 2
VFL
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
OSC
0 - 2
SGA
17%
19%
65%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
WER
1 - 4
SGA
56%
20%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SGA
0 - 0
BRE
19%
19%
63%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
5 - 1
VAT
48%
21%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HAB
0 - 2
UNI
79%
12%
8%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 7
BRI
10%
15%
75%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BLU
1 - 0
UNI
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
TUR
0 - 1
UNI
55%
20%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |