SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BRI
4 - 1
SGA
18%
19%
63%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SGA
7 - 2
LEH
89%
8%
3%
|
40 | 6 | 34 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 2
SGA
10%
14%
77%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SGA
1 - 1
BLU
85%
11%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WER
3 - 1
SGA
55%
20%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HAB
2 - 0
UNI
35%
24%
42%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
VAT
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 0
UNI
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
5 - 1
LEH
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 6 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
OSC
1 - 1
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |