SG Aumund-Vegesack vs TuSpo Surheide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
5º
3º
20
6º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
WER
1 - 4
SGA
8%
14%
78%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SVH
4 - 3
SGA
63%
17%
20%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SGA
3 - 0
BLU
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 3
SGA
22%
20%
58%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SGA
7 - 3
LEH
79%
13%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
TuSpo Surheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TSS
1 - 2
BTN
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
TSS
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LEH
0 - 0
TSS
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BLU
3 - 1
TSS
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
TSS
77%
13%
9%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |