SG Aumund-Vegesack vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
11%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.6%
2.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
12º
4º
19
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 5
OBE
42%
22%
36%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TRB
2 - 6
SGA
44%
21%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 5
WER
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 3
SGA
17%
18%
65%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 6
SGA
38%
22%
41%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 2
VAT
20%
20%
61%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 0
TKA
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
TKA
0 - 5
SVH
7%
12%
82%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BTN
3 - 0
TKA
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
TKA
2 - 3
WER
56%
20%
23%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |