SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Melchiorshausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
29%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
OBE
0 - 1
SGA
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 2
VFL
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BLU
0 - 0
SGA
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SGA
0 - 7
BRI
28%
21%
52%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BRE
6 - 0
SGA
89%
8%
3%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Melchiorshausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GRO
3 - 1
MEL
7%
14%
78%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
OBE
9%
14%
77%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MEL
3 - 5
LEH
62%
18%
20%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VFL
1 - 1
MEL
54%
22%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
HAB
70%
16%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |