SG Aumund-Vegesack vs SV Hemelingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
64.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
15º
5º
10
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
10 | 70 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 50 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 16 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 53% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 47% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EHB
4 - 1
SGA
20%
17%
63%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SGA
3 - 2
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
OSC
4 - 3
SGA
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SGA
5 - 3
GEE
63%
17%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SGA
4 - 2
VAT
86%
9%
5%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
SV Hemelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SVH
4 - 1
GEE
82%
11%
7%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 2
TRB
90%
7%
3%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
WER
4 - 3
SVH
65%
18%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 2
OBE
71%
15%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SVH
2 - 2
BRI
91%
6%
3%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |