SG Aumund-Vegesack vs SV Hemelingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
64.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
15º
10º
41
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 38 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 34 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 94% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EHB
4 - 1
SGA
20%
17%
63%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SGA
3 - 2
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
OSC
4 - 3
SGA
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SGA
5 - 3
GEE
63%
17%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SGA
4 - 2
VAT
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
SV Hemelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SVH
4 - 1
GEE
82%
11%
7%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 2
TRB
90%
7%
3%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
WER
4 - 3
SVH
65%
18%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 2
OBE
71%
15%
14%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SVH
2 - 2
BRI
91%
6%
3%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |