SG Aumund-Vegesack vs OSC Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRO
3 - 0
SGA
26%
19%
54%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LEH
1 - 4
SGA
42%
21%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
BTN
3 - 0
SGA
22%
20%
59%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SGA
4 - 3
HAB
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 6
WER
41%
22%
38%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
OSC
0 - 4
OBE
5%
10%
85%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
OSC
0 - 2
BLU
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
BRI
8 - 2
OSC
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
OSC
1 - 6
BRE
5%
10%
85%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OSC
2 - 6
MEL
34%
22%
44%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |