SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Oberneuland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.9%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
41.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
5%
2-4
3%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
15º
5º
4
4º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 70 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 50 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 16 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 1
SGA
55%
19%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SGA
1 - 3
SVH
18%
18%
64%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EHB
4 - 1
SGA
20%
17%
63%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SGA
3 - 2
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
OSC
4 - 3
SGA
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
1 - 3
UNI
59%
19%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 1
OBE
31%
19%
50%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 2
WER
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 2
BRI
80%
12%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
WER
14 - 0
OBE
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |