SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Leher TS Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
5º
3º
28
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SGA
6 - 3
TKA
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VAT
1 - 1
SGA
19%
20%
62%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 3
OSC
51%
20%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SGA
4 - 1
GEE
53%
20%
27%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 3
SGA
65%
18%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Leher TS Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEH
2 - 3
SVH
13%
16%
71%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 1
LEH
58%
19%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LEH
2 - 1
SCH
37%
21%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LEH
2 - 1
VAT
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OSC
2 - 4
LEH
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |