SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Burg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
BLU
0 - 3
SGA
6%
12%
82%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SGA
3 - 0
WER
30%
22%
49%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
VAT
2 - 3
SGA
11%
14%
75%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 3
SGA
47%
21%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
HAB
1 - 6
SGA
7%
13%
80%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 3
SPA
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SCH
4 - 4
BUR
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 7
UNI
25%
22%
52%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VAT
3 - 2
BUR
75%
15%
11%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
OSC
1 - 1
BUR
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |