SG Aumund-Vegesack vs Blumenthaler SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
12.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
5º
3º
34
6º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 3
SGA
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SGA
7 - 3
LEH
79%
13%
9%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SGA
6 - 3
TKA
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VAT
1 - 1
SGA
19%
20%
62%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 3
OSC
51%
20%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 2
BTN
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BLU
3 - 1
TSS
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
BLU
54%
20%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 1
LEH
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
BLU
70%
15%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |