01 Hoechst vs Erzhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
01 Hoechst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
FRA
5 - 0
SGH
69%
19%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
LOH
2 - 2
SGH
48%
24%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
SGH
1 - 0
SGW
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
SGH
2 - 2
VEL
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2000 |
FVB
2 - 0
SGH
68%
19%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
ERZ
0 - 0
FVB
32%
26%
43%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
ERZ
1 - 2
SVB
49%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
VFB
2 - 1
ERZ
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
ERZ
1 - 2
FSV
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
FUL
4 - 0
ERZ
63%
21%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |