SFC Shturmi vs Spaeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
9º
9º
43
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 59 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 57 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 56 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 50 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 47 |
7º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 43 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 44.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
79% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SFC Shturmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
GAR
4 - 1
SFC
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
LOK
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
SFC
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
MET
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 1
SFC
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
DIN
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 2
SPA
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 2
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GAR
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 0
SPA
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |