SFC Shturmi vs Locomotive Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
9º
9º
32
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
45 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 57 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 54 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 50 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 39 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
37.5% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
60.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SFC Shturmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
SFC
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
MET
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 1
SFC
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
ADU
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 1
SFC
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 4
DIN
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WIT
3 - 0
LOK
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 0
SPA
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
GAR
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 1
LOK
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |