SFC Shturmi vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
49.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
9º
8º
67
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SFC Shturmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
SFC
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
5 - 0
KOL
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
SFC
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
SIO
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 2
SFC
69%
16%
14%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 0
DIN
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WIT
3 - 2
GAR
26%
26%
49%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
0 - 1
ADU
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAB
5 - 2
GAR
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |