SFC Shturmi vs Dinamo Tbilisi II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
9º
8º
39
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 63 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 37 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 31.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 64% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
46% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
53% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SFC Shturmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LTB
3 - 3
SFC
32%
23%
45%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
WIT
3 - 1
SFC
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 3
SPA
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
GAR
4 - 1
SFC
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
LOK
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DIN
4 - 0
FTK
26%
23%
51%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 1
DIN
9%
14%
78%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 2
DIN
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 0
WIT
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
DIN
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |