SFC Shturmi vs Aragvi Dusheti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
9º
8º
32
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 63 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 37 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 43% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
46% | 53% |
|
Relegation
|
53% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SFC Shturmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 1
SFC
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
WIT
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
SFC
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
GAR
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
SFC
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 1
LOK
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 1
ADU
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 3
KOL
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WIT
0 - 2
ADU
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 2
MET
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |