Neuilly Sur Marne vs US Torcy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+289%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
11º
11º
3
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 66 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 41 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 41 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 41 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 35 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 29 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 23 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 22 |
14º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
45.5% | 71% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuilly Sur Marne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 2
NEU
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
FCG
44%
24%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 3
MFC
38%
23%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SML
0 - 1
NEU
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
US Torcy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UST
2 - 1
MON
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 0
UST
74%
17%
9%
|
22 | 64 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UST
1 - 2
ASP
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UST
0 - 1
FLE
8%
14%
78%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
UST
0 - 3
VER
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -2 |