Neuilly Sur Marne vs USM Saran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
65.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+488%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
12º
9º
24
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuilly Sur Marne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NEU
1 - 2
STG
13%
19%
68%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VTR
0 - 0
NEU
84%
11%
6%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NEU
1 - 4
BAL
10%
16%
74%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 2
NEU
81%
13%
7%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
NEU
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
USM Saran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 2
ORL
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MAI
1 - 0
SAR
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
ESA
31%
23%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 2
SAR
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
SML
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +3 |