Neuilly Sur Marne vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+289%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
11º
11º
4
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 66 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 41 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 41 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 41 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 35 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 29 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 23 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 22 |
14º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 12% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
45.5% | 79.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuilly Sur Marne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 3
MFC
38%
23%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SML
0 - 1
NEU
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 3
IVR
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
NEU
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 2
CSL
17%
20%
64%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 0
FCG
66%
20%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCG
2 - 1
VES
33%
23%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
YZE
0 - 1
FCG
66%
21%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FCG
2 - 1
JUR
20%
23%
58%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |