Neuilly Sur Marne vs Dijon II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
50.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
6º
6º
18
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 60 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 42 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 42 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 39 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 34 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 33 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 32 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 31 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 24 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuilly Sur Marne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AUX
5 - 4
NEU
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 1
UST
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 2
NEU
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
FCG
44%
24%
33%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dijon II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DIJ
0 - 0
MON
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 0
DIJ
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 1
ASP
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
YZE
1 - 3
DIJ
39%
26%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 0
IVR
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |