Neuilly Sur Marne vs ASPTT Dijon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
+124%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
6º
6º
15
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 60 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 42 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 42 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 39 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 34 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 33 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 32 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 31 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 24 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 56% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuilly Sur Marne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
YZE
1 - 1
NEU
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 2
IVR
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 3
NEU
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 62 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
RCR
4 - 5
NEU
82%
13%
6%
|
27 | 76 | 49 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 1
CSL
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
ASPTT Dijon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ASP
3 - 0
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
RAC
4 - 2
ASP
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 64 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 0
ASP
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ASP
3 - 4
YZE
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
IVR
0 - 0
ASP
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |