Minerva vs El Palmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+72%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
11º
16º
14º
37
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 65 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 57 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 55 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 53 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 30 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 23 |
16º
|
44.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 21 |
17º
|
47% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 1
CAR
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PLU
1 - 4
MIN
24%
23%
53%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 0
PUL
23%
26%
52%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
MIN
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 2
LOR
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
El Palmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
EGP
1 - 2
MUL
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MSM
2 - 2
EGP
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
EGP
1 - 3
UCA
45%
25%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PLU
0 - 1
EGP
16%
21%
64%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
EGP
0 - 1
PUL
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |