SF Niederwenigern vs Sonsbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
16º
18º
16º
24
8º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 78 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 65 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 35 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 31 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
42.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Niederwenigern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SFB
2 - 2
SFN
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SFN
3 - 1
NET
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
SFN
89%
8%
3%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
4 - 1
SFN
69%
17%
15%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SFN
2 - 2
MFC
40%
22%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sonsbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SON
1 - 1
FCB
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 3
SON
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SON
2 - 2
SVB
55%
22%
24%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SON
2 - 0
VFB
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TDV
0 - 2
SON
29%
23%
49%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |