SF Düren vs BCV Glesch-Paffendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
76.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 0
SFD
48%
22%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SFD
0 - 2
SCB
13%
18%
69%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
NIE
4 - 0
SFD
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BGP
0 - 1
HBE
31%
23%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BGP
2 - 0
HEW
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 1
BGP
11%
17%
73%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |