SF Baumberg vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 2
SFB
18%
21%
61%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
SFB
1 - 3
BOS
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
KFC
3 - 0
SFB
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SFB
1 - 1
SWE
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RWO
4 - 1
SFB
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 0
JDH
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
SON
0 - 1
VFB
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 0
VFB
24%
23%
54%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VFB
3 - 0
BOS
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
KFC
1 - 1
VFB
80%
14%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |