SF Baumberg vs SF Niederwenigern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
17º
12º
15
16º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 78 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 62 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 60 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 49 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 47 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
35% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 53% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 47% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FCB
5 - 0
SFB
39%
23%
39%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SFB
6 - 1
TDV
76%
15%
10%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SFB
0 - 0
MFC
65%
19%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SVB
1 - 1
SFB
34%
22%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 1
SFB
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SF Niederwenigern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SFN
3 - 1
NET
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
SFN
89%
8%
3%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
4 - 1
SFN
69%
17%
15%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SFN
2 - 2
MFC
40%
22%
39%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SVB
0 - 0
SFN
68%
16%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |