SF Baumberg vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
17º
12º
38
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 75 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 73 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 65 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 58 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 39 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 37 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 35 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 34 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
44.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
1FC
0 - 2
SFB
29%
23%
48%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SFB
3 - 1
KLE
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
TEU
2 - 1
SFB
33%
23%
44%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SFB
2 - 3
GRA
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MEE
1 - 1
SFB
29%
22%
49%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 1
NET
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SWE
3 - 0
FCB
56%
22%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SFN
0 - 2
SWE
19%
22%
60%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
SWE
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 3
SVB
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |