Real Agro Aversa vs Vigor Lamezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAV
1 - 0
RAA
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 2
LEO
58%
23%
18%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 2
RAA
45%
25%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RAA
0 - 0
SAR
52%
25%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
DTO
2 - 0
RAA
32%
28%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
4 - 0
VIG
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VIG
0 - 1
DTO
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 0
VIG
48%
25%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 2
NOT
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
VIG
0 - 2
NFR
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |