Real Agro Aversa vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NFR
1 - 0
RAA
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 0
USV
60%
24%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SIR
3 - 1
RAA
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
REN
1 - 1
RAA
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
DTO
37%
27%
36%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 1
GRA
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 1
NOT
43%
23%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
REG
1 - 0
GRA
70%
17%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 0
AGR
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |