Real Agro Aversa vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NFR
3 - 0
RAA
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TUR
3 - 2
RAA
40%
27%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
RAA
1 - 1
AGR
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 2
RAA
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RAA
2 - 1
SCO
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
USC
2 - 2
SAN
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
REN
2 - 1
USC
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
USC
2 - 2
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -6 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ASR
1 - 0
USC
67%
21%
13%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
USC
3 - 0
VIR
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |