Real Agro Aversa vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
RAA
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 0
APR
33%
26%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VIG
1 - 1
RAA
54%
26%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RAA
1 - 1
ARZ
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
USP
0 - 0
RAA
45%
27%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
ASM
57%
24%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MES
2 - 1
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARZ
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
USF
1 - 1
CAS
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
TER
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |