Seychelles vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
65.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
MOZ
5 - 1
SYC
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ALG
4 - 0
SYC
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 1
MUS
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 1
ZIM
12%
20%
69%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 0
SYC
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
MOZ
5 - 1
SYC
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
MOZ
0 - 1
RWA
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
NAM
2 - 0
MOZ
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
MOZ
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
MOZ
3 - 2
MWI
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |