CAF Qualifying Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 1-3
Seychelles vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
69.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
MDV
0 - 0
SYC
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
LKA
0 - 1
SYC
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
BGD
1 - 1
SYC
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
COM
7 - 1
SYC
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SYC
0 - 1
SSD
25%
21%
54%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
RSA
4 - 0
LSO
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
4 - 0
LSO
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
ZAM
1 - 2
LSO
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
SWZ
3 - 1
LSO
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
LSO
0 - 1
SWZ
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |