CHAN Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-5
Seychelles vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
SYC
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
NGA
3 - 1
SYC
91%
7%
2%
|
39 | 85 | 46 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SYC
1 - 8
LBY
5%
12%
84%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SYC
0 - 0
RSA
6%
15%
79%
|
38 | 82 | 44 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
RSA
6 - 0
SYC
85%
12%
3%
|
39 | 81 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
SYC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
ANG
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MTN
2 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
BFA
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BFA
3 - 0
BOT
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |