SexyPöxyt vs Ilves II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
72%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
10º
11º
22
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 39 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
92% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 23 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SexyPöxyt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HON
3 - 1
SEX
84%
13%
3%
|
20 | 71 | 51 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
TAM
3 - 0
SEX
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SEX
2 - 3
INT
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
EBK
4 - 5
SEX
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
SEX
1 - 2
VJS
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Ilves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
2 - 1
HON
8%
18%
75%
|
35 | 72 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
INT
5 - 1
ILV
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 0
EBK
32%
21%
47%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
VJS
3 - 1
ILV
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
IKI
5 - 4
ILV
59%
19%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |