SexyPöxyt vs Ilves II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
45.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
12º
11º
20
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SexyPöxyt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
EPF
1 - 0
SEX
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SEX
0 - 2
FCJ
13%
18%
69%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GRI
1 - 1
SEX
84%
10%
6%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SEX
3 - 2
TAM
16%
17%
67%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
4 - 1
SEX
84%
10%
6%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Ilves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ILV
2 - 0
PIF
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PII
2 - 0
ILV
68%
17%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ILV
0 - 1
EPF
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCJ
5 - 0
ILV
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 2
GRI
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |