Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-8
Sevilla vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13%
10.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
VAD
6 - 0
SEV
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
DEP
1 - 1
SEV
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
SEV
4 - 2
DEP
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
GIM
2 - 4
SEV
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
SEV
5 - 3
ATH
54%
20%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
VAD
6 - 0
SEV
52%
22%
27%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
VAD
2 - 1
RSO
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
RSO
0 - 1
VAD
72%
15%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
VAD
1 - 4
RMA
34%
23%
43%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
VCF
4 - 1
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |