Sevilla vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
16.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
OVI
0 - 4
SEV
65%
17%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
SEV
11 - 1
FCB
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
ZAR
4 - 2
SEV
46%
22%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
SEV
1 - 0
ZAR
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
SEV
2 - 3
BET
71%
16%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
FCB
4 - 3
VCF
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
VCF
2 - 2
ATH
36%
22%
42%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1940 |
VCF
1 - 2
ESP
51%
20%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1940 |
ESP
3 - 1
VCF
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
VCF
4 - 2
HER
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |