Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-9
Sevilla vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1941 |
VCF
8 - 1
SEV
58%
19%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
SEV
5 - 1
CAS
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
CAS
1 - 2
SEV
31%
22%
47%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
63%
17%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ATH
2 - 1
SEV
78%
13%
10%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1941 |
VCF
8 - 1
SEV
58%
19%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
VCF
3 - 1
ATH
46%
22%
32%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
ATH
2 - 1
VCF
77%
12%
11%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATM
54%
20%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1941 |
VCF
3 - 0
ATH
43%
22%
36%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |