Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-7
Sevilla vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
VCF
5 - 1
SEV
54%
21%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1930 |
SEV
2 - 1
CUL
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
CUL
2 - 1
SEV
26%
24%
51%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
SEV
1 - 0
CUL
80%
12%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
SEV
4 - 1
DEP
59%
19%
22%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
VCF
5 - 1
SEV
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
VCF
5 - 1
CEL
58%
20%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
CEL
2 - 0
VCF
52%
21%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
SPO
2 - 1
VCF
51%
21%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
VCF
4 - 0
MUR
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |